Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a self-sufficient event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if it is exactly what your issue is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the particular 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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